Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Swindon
25.0%
Draw
35.3%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Swindon
vs
1.28
Bradford
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).