Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Swansea
29.4%
Draw
35.9%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Swansea
vs
1.23
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).