Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Welling United
39.8%
Draw
25.7%
Leverstock Green
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Welling United
vs
0.56
Leverstock Green
Markets
BTTS21.4%
Over 0.572.2%
Over 1.535.8%
Over 2.513.5%
Over 3.54.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
27.8%
1-0
20.2%
0-1
16.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
3-0
1.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
0-3
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).