Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Pescara
26.7%
Draw
34.0%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Pescara
vs
1.42
Perugia
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).