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12 Mar 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.3%
Cartagena
25.9%
Draw
45.9%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Cartagena

vs
1.46

Andorra

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).