Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.6%
Sheffield Wednesday
26.6%
Draw
56.8%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.62
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
12.1%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).