Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Morecambe
22.8%
Draw
17.3%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Morecambe
vs
0.78
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).