Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Granada
25.5%
Draw
24.9%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Granada
vs
1.00
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).