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30 Aug 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.8%
Mjällby
20.7%
Draw
4.5%
Halmstad

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Mjällby

vs
0.29

Halmstad

Markets

BTTS22.1%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
21.1%
2-0
20.0%
0-0
12.6%
3-0
12.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
4-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-1
2.8%
5-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).