Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Vallecano
35.9%
Draw
26.5%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Vallecano
vs
0.69
Getafe
Markets
BTTS29.6%
Over 0.579.1%
Over 1.547.1%
Over 2.521.1%
Over 3.57.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.9%
1-0
18.0%
0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).