Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Chateauroux
31.4%
Draw
50.4%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Chateauroux
vs
1.08
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS25.5%
Over 0.580.5%
Over 1.546.3%
Over 2.521.4%
Over 3.57.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.9%
0-0
19.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-1
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-2
1.5%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).