Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Ried
28.7%
Draw
43.9%
Sturm Graz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Ried
vs
1.40
Sturm Graz
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).