Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Ibiza
26.9%
Draw
41.8%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Ibiza
vs
1.33
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).