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19 May 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.9%
Greuther Furth
25.7%
Draw
51.4%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Greuther Furth

vs
1.76

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).