Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Bristol City
32.3%
Draw
34.5%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Bristol City
vs
1.06
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
0-3
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).