Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Lyon
22.9%
Draw
34.8%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Lyon
vs
1.43
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).