Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Monza
28.9%
Draw
24.6%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Monza
vs
1.00
Parma
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).