Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Lechia Gdańsk
22.9%
Draw
29.6%
Katowice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
1.58
Katowice
Markets
BTTS69.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).