Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.5%
Luton
25.1%
Draw
50.4%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Luton
vs
1.91
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
0-3
4.7%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).