Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
M'gladbach
30.1%
Draw
22.8%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
M'gladbach
vs
0.85
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).