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11 Jan 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.4%
Trabzonspor
25.7%
Draw
16.0%
Samsunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

Trabzonspor

vs
1.04

Samsunspor

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
4-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).