Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.1%
Tondela
20.0%
Draw
68.9%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Tondela
vs
1.88
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-2
15.1%
0-3
9.4%
1-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
0-4
4.4%
2-1
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).