Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Saint-Étienne
20.7%
Draw
50.1%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Saint-Étienne
vs
1.97
Brest
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.545.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
0-1
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).