Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Auxerre
29.6%
Draw
42.9%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Auxerre
vs
1.11
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).