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28 Sept 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.2%
Brommapojkarna
22.3%
Draw
69.5%
Mjällby

Expected Goals (xG)

0.50

Brommapojkarna

vs
1.86

Mjällby

Markets

BTTS34.1%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.6%
0-2
16.3%
0-0
10.4%
0-3
10.1%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-1
2.2%
2-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).