Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Santa Clara
26.9%
Draw
24.1%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Santa Clara
vs
0.85
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).