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HHT: 10CSV

05 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.8%
Lorient
29.2%
Draw
22.0%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Lorient

vs
0.66

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS32.2%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.553.3%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.8%
0-0
15.2%
0-1
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).