Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Cremonese
20.1%
Draw
9.9%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Cremonese
vs
0.70
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).