Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Swindon
18.1%
Draw
17.2%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Swindon
vs
1.11
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
1-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).