Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Chorley
28.3%
Draw
41.7%
Boreham Wood
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Chorley
vs
1.42
Boreham Wood
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).