Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
Santander
18.0%
Draw
13.0%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Santander
vs
0.86
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).