Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
Auxerre
13.7%
Draw
10.1%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Auxerre
vs
0.84
Nimes
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
6.3%
4-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).