Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Garforth Town
18.7%
Draw
61.2%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Garforth Town
vs
2.32
Bury
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
7.9%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.3%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
4.6%
1-4
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).