⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 02CSV

16 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
14.3%
Oxford City
22.7%
Draw
63.0%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Oxford City

vs
1.96

Bromley

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.8%
0-1
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.7%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).