Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Leicester
30.8%
Draw
53.6%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Leicester
vs
1.40
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).