Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
30.6%
Draw
33.5%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
1.11
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).