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AHT: 00CSV

09 Mar 2024 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Sivasspor
33.8%
Draw
38.6%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Sivasspor

vs
1.32

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.2%
0-0
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).