Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Gil Vicente
29.3%
Draw
50.9%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Gil Vicente
vs
1.22
Porto
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.7%
0-0
15.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
0-3
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
2-0
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).