Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.0%
Dorking
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
3.48
Dorking
vs
1.49
Bury
Markets
BTTS74.9%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.595.7%
Over 2.587.2%
Over 3.573.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.3%
4-1
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-2
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
5-1
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
1-1
3.5%
5-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).