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AHT: 02CSV

04 Jul 2020 · 15:00

Leeds

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.0%
Blackburn
23.7%
Draw
65.3%
Leeds

Expected Goals (xG)

0.60

Blackburn

vs
1.78

Leeds

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
1-4
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).