Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
St Etienne
25.8%
Draw
32.2%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
St Etienne
vs
1.07
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).