Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Rochdale
24.3%
Draw
18.2%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Rochdale
vs
0.96
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).