⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 10

30 Aug 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
39.3%
Queens Park Rangers
31.0%
Draw
29.7%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.02

Charlton

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).