Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Man United
24.6%
Draw
16.0%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Man United
vs
0.91
West Brom
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).