Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Barrow
34.7%
Draw
28.6%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Barrow
vs
0.84
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.555.5%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.3%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).