Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Belenenses
30.1%
Draw
41.8%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Belenenses
vs
1.09
Aves
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).