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HHT: 11CSV

08 Oct 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.0%
Hatayspor
29.8%
Draw
38.2%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Hatayspor

vs
1.58

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS63.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).