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27 Apr 2024 · 18:00

Troyes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.6%
Amiens
22.5%
Draw
53.9%
Troyes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Amiens

vs
1.66

Troyes

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.6%
1-1
10.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).