Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Troyes
21.2%
Draw
59.5%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Troyes
vs
1.94
Lille
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.5%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
2-3
3.2%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).