Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Rostov
31.0%
Draw
35.3%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Rostov
vs
1.20
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).